Get ready for the hottest weekend of the year so far. A surface area of high pressure off the East Coast continues to pump in Gulf Moisture over us, and that will keep us very humid. There is an upper-level area of high pressure over Northern Mexico and Western Texas, and this will limit the amount of storms we will see for the next few days. Therefore, today will be partly cloudy, hot and humid with spotty showers and storms. Any storm could contain heavy rain and a lot of lightning. High temperatures will be in the lower 90s, and it will feel like 95-100°. Tonight will be mostly clear and muggy with lows in the mid 70s.
Father’s Day Weekend: The upper-level high will still impact our area, and that means we will only have a few thunderstorms each day. Otherwise, it will be partly cloudy, hot and humid with high temperatures in the lower 90s each day. It will still feel like 95-100°+, so take it easy if you are going to be outside this weekend. Stay hydrated! Maybe Dad could stay in the A/C all weekend!
Next Week Outlook: We will still feel the influence of the upper-level high pressure on Monday through Wednesday. Expect partly cloudy skies with only a few showers and storms each day. It will stay hot and humid with highs in the lower 90s, and it will feel like 95-100°+.
It looks like the upper-level high may move back to the west by the end of next week, and that would allow for deeper tropical moisture to stream over us from the Gulf. This could be part of a weak tropical wave or tropical system that is forecast to develop over the weekend. Part of this could drift into the Northern Gulf, and that would increase the chance for rain for us. We will have to see how the development of this tropical wave/low plays out, and that will be the main factor for our chance for rain. Daily highs will be in the lower 90s.
Tropical Outlook: No tropical development is expected in the next 2 days. NHC is now saying there is a medium chance (50%) for tropical development in the next 5 days. There is still a chance for development of a low or tropical wave in the Western Caribbean Sea into the Bay of Campeche. The GFS model on Friday does not show much development. It splits the wave into two with one part going west into the Bay of Campeche, and the other part into the Eastern Gulf. The European model does develop this into a low, but it moves it west into the Bay of Campeche and into Mexico. Since there is not an actual system yet, the forecast models have a hard time forecasting where a low could track. We will continue to watch this possibility and will keep you updated.
For the latest pollen forecast, click here.
For the latest marine forecast, click here.